Posts Tagged ‘Market Structure’

Investor Relations, Global Markets and Reg Nms

March 8th, 2010

There are the three reasons why market structure matters to IR practitioners: right answers to questions, right places for IR time and effort, right IR measurements. Let’s look at how options expirations apply to these actions.

Last week saw the expiration of monthly options. At ModernIR, we noticed that overall market structure changed in advance on Monday October 15. We also saw how global markets behaved like pistons, going up and down in small increments. » Read more: Investor Relations, Global Markets and Reg Nms

Investor Relations, Optional Chaos And Institutional Selling

February 6th, 2010

Today, we’ll concentrate on what happened last week when the markets were shelled by broad-based institutional selling. Our sample data showed anonymous electronic order flow accounted for 42% of all trading Nov 5-9 and an astonishing 69% of volume on Nov 8.

What happened, why does it matter, and what’s to be learned, IROs?

Looking first at what happened, we believe institutions abandoned the orderliness of prime brokerage relationships where broker-dealers employ technology, access to liquidity and their own capital to control execution costs for clients and effect minimal impact on market structure. Instead, it appears that institutions connected directly to the markets in a nearly desperate effort to reduce exposure to equities. Whatever the reasons, the astounding role of anonymous execution platforms like Archipelago on Nov 8 was indisputable.

Why did it happen? Two reasons: First, we can’t overlook fear. Quantitative and fundamental investors alike are trading in four or five-day increments and making swift changes. Second, options set to expire this Friday, Nov 16 include currency and treasury futures as well as security futures. » Read more: Investor Relations, Optional Chaos And Institutional Selling

Is Investor Relations Becoming Transient Like Trading?

January 11th, 2010

First, let’s take a look at the markets for the initial week of December 2007. From our analysis it appeared that fundamental investors were most active December 4th, while trading lightened considerably by the 7th and carried the telltale signs of massive risk-management and hedging. For investor relations, this means real investors finally followed traders into the maw – we’ve not seen much of that in the past couple months – prompting everybody else to take out insurance on their equity positions. No fund manager wishes to be caught out in the open on a Friday nowadays.

Of course not. However, a few points are worth considering.

Part of the explanation to management for continued volatility is, to use an analogy, like a junior high classroom before the last bell of the day: everybody’s there because they have no choice. But the moment that bell sounds, it’s a rush for the exit. Take the gentle whisper down from the Fed on overnight rates. The market responded by hacking 300 points off the Dow. Summary: Market structure at large is strung as tight as a junior high classroom just before last bell.

Speaking of market structure and analogies, let’s get back to transience and investor relations. Investor relations will never be and should never be a short-term endeavor. Pick your aphorism, from “acting locally and thinking globally” (and you mathematicians don’t jeer me with Diophantine equations, please. It’s a metaphor.), to “think short-term, act long-term,” and the point is that IR must evolve to encompass views of immediate events in order to grasp the big picture on why equities behave the way they do now. » Read more: Is Investor Relations Becoming Transient Like Trading?